War

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Pezevenk

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Re: War
« Reply #210 on: February 18, 2022, 02:57:50 PM »
 A number of members of the Ukrainian government are now complaining that Ukraine is being severely hurt financially by the looming threat of war, even complaining that countries moving their embassies hurts them because it causes panic and drives interests way up. Perhaps that's what Putin is trying to do here, destroy Ukraine financially via threats of war.
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Lorddave

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Re: War
« Reply #211 on: February 18, 2022, 03:12:28 PM »
A number of members of the Ukrainian government are now complaining that Ukraine is being severely hurt financially by the looming threat of war, even complaining that countries moving their embassies hurts them because it causes panic and drives interests way up. Perhaps that's what Putin is trying to do here, destroy Ukraine financially via threats of war.

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JJA

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Re: War
« Reply #212 on: February 18, 2022, 03:33:32 PM »
A number of members of the Ukrainian government are now complaining that Ukraine is being severely hurt financially by the looming threat of war, even complaining that countries moving their embassies hurts them because it causes panic and drives interests way up. Perhaps that's what Putin is trying to do here, destroy Ukraine financially via threats of war.

And it only took shifting 50% of his ground forces to the border to do it.

If he does invade, will you switch from protesting that he isn't going to invade to parroting whatever excuse he uses to pull the trigger?

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Pezevenk

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Re: War
« Reply #213 on: February 18, 2022, 03:41:16 PM »
A number of members of the Ukrainian government are now complaining that Ukraine is being severely hurt financially by the looming threat of war, even complaining that countries moving their embassies hurts them because it causes panic and drives interests way up. Perhaps that's what Putin is trying to do here, destroy Ukraine financially via threats of war.

And it only took shifting 50% of his ground forces to the border to do it.

If he does invade, will you switch from protesting that he isn't going to invade to parroting whatever excuse he uses to pull the trigger?

I don't want him to invade. I also most importantly don't want there to be a broader war if he does invade and I'm absolutely gonna protest that if it happens, though I'm relieved to see NATO probably backed down from that entirely.
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Crouton

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Re: War
« Reply #214 on: February 18, 2022, 03:47:04 PM »
A number of members of the Ukrainian government are now complaining that Ukraine is being severely hurt financially by the looming threat of war, even complaining that countries moving their embassies hurts them because it causes panic and drives interests way up. Perhaps that's what Putin is trying to do here, destroy Ukraine financially via threats of war.

And it only took shifting 50% of his ground forces to the border to do it.

If he does invade, will you switch from protesting that he isn't going to invade to parroting whatever excuse he uses to pull the trigger?

Well if he does invade then it's obviously the fault of America for beguiling them with our western ways.  We make a strong case for association being that we're the land of unlimited cheeseburgers and blowjobs.  But Russia also makes a strong case for itself by being devoid of universal indoor plumbing and they'll imprison you for criticizing the government.

We may never know why countries gravitate towards us.  One of those great mysteries of life I guess.
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Pezevenk

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Re: War
« Reply #215 on: February 18, 2022, 03:54:51 PM »
This entire thing is literally happening largely because eastern Ukraine gravitated towards Russia but ok.
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Crouton

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Re: War
« Reply #216 on: February 18, 2022, 04:05:58 PM »
Right. We're the ones with half our army on their doorstep.
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Pezevenk

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Re: War
« Reply #217 on: February 19, 2022, 03:07:07 AM »
Look up polls in Crimea before any of this happened. Or talk to someone from Crimea. Or even just read articles some time after the annexation about it in whatever media you think is less likely to be Russian propaganda, NPR, whatever. I've talked to someone living in Crimea who did not support the invasion, and even someone who actually fought for the Ukrainian army and lives in Greece now (oddly enough the second one supports Putin now, I don't understand how that works, maybe it has to do with the shrapnel that landed on his head). Anyone will tell you that these areas largely supported greater proximity to Russia, and that the prevailing sentiment in Crimea during the invasion was "Russian brothers are coming to help us break away from the fascists". Even the people who didn't support it will tell you this is what most people in Crimea thought.
« Last Edit: February 19, 2022, 03:10:08 AM by Pezevenk »
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Crouton

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Re: War
« Reply #218 on: February 19, 2022, 05:15:39 AM »
In your opinion does this justify Russia invading Crimea in 2014 and a possible invasion of the rest of Ukraine now?
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JimmyTheCrab

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Re: War
« Reply #219 on: February 19, 2022, 05:50:17 AM »
Look up polls in Crimea before any of this happened.

"Polling in 2008 by the Ukrainian Centre for Economic and Political Studies, also called the Razumkov Centre, found that 63.8% of Crimeans (76% of ethnic Russians, 55% of ethnic Ukrainians, and 14% of ethnic Crimean Tatars, respectively) would like Crimea to secede from Ukraine and join Russia, and that 53.8% of Crimeans would like to preserve its current status but with expanded powers and rights. Razumkov characterized Crimeans' views as controversial and unsteady, and therefore vulnerable to internal and external influences.[28]"


Not exactly overwhelming support.  And I guess support for an overnight military invasion by Russia would have been even lower - they weren't asked that. Though usually when people are asked "Would you like to wake up to Russian paratroopers landing in your front yard?" they tend to answer in the negative.
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JJA

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Re: War
« Reply #220 on: February 19, 2022, 06:36:20 AM »
How many thousands of innocent civilians are going to die because of Putins ego?

This is going to suck.

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Pezevenk

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Re: War
« Reply #221 on: February 19, 2022, 01:12:31 PM »
Look up polls in Crimea before any of this happened.

"Polling in 2008 by the Ukrainian Centre for Economic and Political Studies, also called the Razumkov Centre, found that 63.8% of Crimeans (76% of ethnic Russians, 55% of ethnic Ukrainians, and 14% of ethnic Crimean Tatars, respectively) would like Crimea to secede from Ukraine and join Russia, and that 53.8% of Crimeans would like to preserve its current status but with expanded powers and rights. Razumkov characterized Crimeans' views as controversial and unsteady, and therefore vulnerable to internal and external influences.[28]"


Not exactly overwhelming support.  And I guess support for an overnight military invasion by Russia would have been even lower - they weren't asked that. Though usually when people are asked "Would you like to wake up to Russian paratroopers landing in your front yard?" they tend to answer in the negative.

No, it's true that it was not overwhelming in 2008. It's clear there was pretty broad support and if you see the undecided/opposed breakdown, you'll see opposition was really really low, most of the rest were undecided. But after the fall of Yanukovych, the undecideds broadly decided, especially after the government made it clear they would repeal minority language laws. There was basically no opposition from within Crimea to the invasion. The majority supported it, then there was many people who just didn't care enough to react, and the ones that did were vastly outnumbered.

As for the waking up to Russian paratroopers in their yard, I'd bet you a good chunk of ethnic Russians would tell you "fuck yeah I would like that" even 20 years ago, because they think of them as compatriots coming to help them. You're really underestimating irredentist and nationalist sentiment in these countries.
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Pezevenk

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Re: War
« Reply #222 on: February 19, 2022, 01:13:37 PM »
In your opinion does this justify Russia invading Crimea in 2014 and a possible invasion of the rest of Ukraine now?
No. Although it would have been better if Crimea wasn't made part of Ukraine in the first place. And I also don't think that blame for the situation lies solely on Russia.
« Last Edit: February 19, 2022, 01:16:30 PM by Pezevenk »
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JimmyTheCrab

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Re: War
« Reply #223 on: February 20, 2022, 05:24:11 AM »
No, it's true that it was not overwhelming in 2008. It's clear there was pretty broad support and if you see the undecided/opposed breakdown, you'll see opposition was really really low, most of the rest were undecided.
Well, that's definitely grounds for a military invasion then.   ::)
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Wolvaccine

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Re: War
« Reply #224 on: February 20, 2022, 05:57:28 AM »
In your opinion does this justify Russia invading Crimea in 2014 and a possible invasion of the rest of Ukraine now?
And I also don't think that blame for the situation lies solely on Russia.

Agreed. Ukraine didn't fight for their sovereignty hard enough so they should cop some of the blame too. Why blame Russia? Props to them for fighting for what they wanted. The same way I imagine the Australian Aboriginals are partly to blame when they lost the war to the British when they invaded Australia. They should have fought harder if they wanted it.

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JJA

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Re: War
« Reply #225 on: February 20, 2022, 06:31:48 AM »
In your opinion does this justify Russia invading Crimea in 2014 and a possible invasion of the rest of Ukraine now?
And I also don't think that blame for the situation lies solely on Russia.

Agreed. Ukraine didn't fight for their sovereignty hard enough so they should cop some of the blame too. Why blame Russia? Props to them for fighting for what they wanted. The same way I imagine the Australian Aboriginals are partly to blame when they lost the war to the British when they invaded Australia. They should have fought harder if they wanted it.

Don't forget the Native Americans who didn't fight off smallpox hard enough. Plenty of blame to go around.

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Lorddave

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Re: War
« Reply #226 on: February 20, 2022, 06:36:25 AM »
In your opinion does this justify Russia invading Crimea in 2014 and a possible invasion of the rest of Ukraine now?
And I also don't think that blame for the situation lies solely on Russia.

Agreed. Ukraine didn't fight for their sovereignty hard enough so they should cop some of the blame too. Why blame Russia? Props to them for fighting for what they wanted. The same way I imagine the Australian Aboriginals are partly to blame when they lost the war to the British when they invaded Australia. They should have fought harder if they wanted it.

Don't forget the Native Americans who didn't fight off smallpox hard enough. Plenty of blame to go around.

There were bad, bad people... On both sides.
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Crouton

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Re: War
« Reply #227 on: February 20, 2022, 08:03:56 AM »
In your opinion does this justify Russia invading Crimea in 2014 and a possible invasion of the rest of Ukraine now?
And I also don't think that blame for the situation lies solely on Russia.

Agreed. Ukraine didn't fight for their sovereignty hard enough so they should cop some of the blame too. Why blame Russia? Props to them for fighting for what they wanted. The same way I imagine the Australian Aboriginals are partly to blame when they lost the war to the British when they invaded Australia. They should have fought harder if they wanted it.

Don't forget the Native Americans who didn't fight off smallpox hard enough. Plenty of blame to go around.

To be fair the book of mormon teaches us that native Americans are dark skinned because they're evil so God sent the Europeans to take their land.

But if they accept the wisdom of the prophet Joseph Smith then their skin will turn white again.

What? Don't look at me like that. I didn't make this shit up. It's taught in a religion followed by almost 20 million members!
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JimmyTheCrab

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Re: War
« Reply #228 on: February 20, 2022, 09:01:21 AM »
Maybe the Ukrainians accepted the wisdom of the prophet Joseph Smith then.  They are pretty damned white, especially in the winter.
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markjo

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Re: War
« Reply #229 on: February 20, 2022, 10:14:44 AM »
Maybe that's the problem too.  They should have accepted the wisdom of the prophet Vladimir Putin instead.
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Calen

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Re: War
« Reply #230 on: February 20, 2022, 11:02:57 AM »
LSD and the Book of Morons.  I had no idea there were that many now.

I need to find me some 'lost texts' and start my own money maker religion.
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JJA

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Re: War
« Reply #231 on: February 20, 2022, 11:59:15 AM »
LSD and the Book of Morons.  I had no idea there were that many now.

I need to find me some 'lost texts' and start my own money maker religion.

They have their own state.  They almost got one of their own elected President.

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Calen

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Re: War
« Reply #232 on: February 20, 2022, 12:03:25 PM »
I had forgotten about Romney.
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Space Cowgirl

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Re: War
« Reply #233 on: February 20, 2022, 03:41:17 PM »
Just think how less crazy the world would be right now if Romney had been president instead of Trump!
I'm sorry. Am I to understand that when you have a boner you like to imagine punching the shit out of Tom Bishop? That's disgusting.

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Rayzor

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Re: War
« Reply #234 on: February 20, 2022, 03:45:33 PM »
There seems to be a disparity between the public statements of the Ukrainian ministers and the general statements from Nato countries.

The Ukrainians are saying things like,  the likelyhood of a Russian invasion is low.  While Nato citing intelligence reporting that the order has already been given.

The military types are saying the Russians are waiting on favourable colder weather and frozen ground for the tanks and heavy machinery to not get bogged. 

I'm thinking all three are correct, and the Ukrainians know something about the ground conditions.

The correct move right now might be to sanction Russian oligarchs and sieze their overseas assets.



Stop gilding the pickle, you demisexual aromantic homoflexible snowflake.

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New Earth

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Re: War
« Reply #235 on: February 20, 2022, 10:38:26 PM »
As someone of Jewish Eastern European ancestry I can tell you that there was never any Ukraine in the past. Ukraine was always Russia and culturally it will always be Russia. Anyways Putin is not interested in invading Ukraine because if he did he would have done so already. It makes zero sense to invade a poor country and have responsibility of feeding millions of people, while Russia is struggling to feed their own population. You wanna invade rich countries and Ukraine under Russia will be an absolute burden to already bad Russian economy. Biden is an idiot and everything you hear on the news about Russia invading is fake. Biden simply wants to shift the attention out of how poorly he is performing unto something else, he wants  you to hate Russia rather then hating the fucking Democrats who ruined this country under Biden. The only thing Putin doesn't want is for Ukraine to join NATO and have NATO troops alongside Russian border, can you blame him?
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Wolvaccine

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Re: War
« Reply #236 on: February 20, 2022, 11:06:01 PM »
As someone of Jewish Eastern European ancestry I can tell you that there was never any Ukraine in the past. Ukraine was always Russia and culturally it will always be Russia. Anyways Putin is not interested in invading Ukraine because if he did he would have done so already. It makes zero sense to invade a poor country and have responsibility of feeding millions of people, while Russia is struggling to feed their own population. You wanna invade rich countries and Ukraine under Russia will be an absolute burden to already bad Russian economy. Biden is an idiot and everything you hear on the news about Russia invading is fake. Biden simply wants to shift the attention out of how poorly he is performing unto something else, he wants  you to hate Russia rather then hating the fucking Democrats who ruined this country under Biden. The only thing Putin doesn't want is for Ukraine to join NATO and have NATO troops alongside Russian border, can you blame him?

Just quoting this for when it inevitably proves you to be an ignorant dumbarse

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Unconvinced

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Re: War
« Reply #237 on: February 21, 2022, 01:05:51 AM »
Nice try, but liberal democracies do actually practice democracy, with the likes of elections, free press, right to protest, etc. if not always perfectly. 

None of these things really happened in Greece during that time so...

Not because they were allied to  NATO though.  Unlike the Soviet block which was that way by design.

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NATO's fundamental goal is to safeguard the Allies' freedom and security by political and military means.

Not sure what the problem with that is, so it seems very much a question of how to go about it.

If you believe the label, yeah.

Not entirely, but more than I believe the excuses I hear for Russia’s current actions, or the idea that they were just the plucky underdogs in the Cold War protecting themselves from nasty NATO.

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Does include the bigger picture that letting Putin get away with this bullshit, not only is he likely to push further, but China will be emboldened to make a move on Taiwan.  But fuck Taiwan too, right?

What does Taiwan have to do with Ukraine? Also, do we seriously have to look at China too as a massive aggressive threat to world peace now? Sorry but China is objectively by far the least (militarily) threatening superpower to anyone external to it right now. They've been involved in no major wars with anyone for decades.

China is a military threat to Taiwan.  You’re the one who said to look at the big picture. 

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Also Taiwan isn't even recognized as a country by most other countries, kinda like, you know, Donetsk lol

It’s nothing like Donetsk.  There’s no separatists fighting the government, it’s a peaceful democratic country.  It’s not officially recognized, but the status quo has been accepted for decades.  It was a mistake not to fully recognize it ages ago and that’s kind of the problem now. 

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I believe it’s Russia that annexed part of it and have active military forces in their borders supporting separatists.  You know that the interim Ukraine government intended to stay neutral and on friendly terms with Russia

That's not entirely accurate. They didn't say they'd join NATO but they did express intentions of joining the EU. Crimea strongly supported Yanukovych and got pissed when he was couped. Go see polls before this all happened for Yanukovych in eastern Ukraine and what people living in Crimea now think. They got even more pissed as the new nationalist government moved to repeal language laws for ethnic minorities. Before that there was a law which let the minorities use their own languages in schools and government etc. The new government wanted to take that back, so they saw the new status quo as a direct threat against them, and they were completely right. It's the kind of stuff that people got pissed at China for trying to enforce on Hong Kong. And it's not even just the russians. Other ethnic minorities in eastern Ukraine are also very ambivalent, although they don't tend to support a russian invasion unlike many ethnic russians. Meanwhile Ukraine had already pled to join NATO and NATO accepted a few years ago, right before Yanukovych. What the interim government said at the time is not relevant, because the whole point of the interim government was that it would only be there for a little while. It's simply not accurate that Ukraine was not intending to join NATO and that NATO wasn't actively pushing for expansion. Again you can't look at things like completely separate moments.

Whoa!  Opinion polls and language curriculums!  Great justification for sending troops into another country and carving bits off it.  If only we had opinion polls for Afghanistan and Iraq, and I might have supported those wars.

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Again that would be Putin threatening to plunge Europe into war.

What does the rest of Europe have to do with the shitfest that is eastern Ukraine? Literally no one would move an inch if the same thing happened to some other country that NATO doesn't care about. I know that for a fact because again no one moved an inch for Azerbaijan vs Armenia. Should Europe have gone to war over that? I don't like that Azerbaijan attacked Artsakh. Do I want to be shipped over to Nagorno Karabakh to shoot at stuff? And then maybe also provoke Turkey into war supporting Azerbaijan so that the entire Mediterranean can blow up? No. Is it my country's concern to go do that? Again no. Why Americans still think that their government just cares about justice and they should let it do this exact thing is beyond me. I guess maybe for some of them it's safe game to think about it because they don't have to fight if they don't want to and they're on the other side of the earth anyways.

None of this makes any sense.  Russia has built up a huge force, enough for a full scale invasion.  NATO hasn’t deployed anything like enough to engage, nor have they threatened to.  Economic sanctions are the deterrent here.

But maybe you’ll be conscripted as an accountant or something?

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Like, we were talking about Georgia before. Do you know what preceded the war with Georgia? The Bucharest summit of NATO, where Georgia AND UKRAINE said they were planning to join NATO and NATO accepted, and directly expressed plans for expansion. And then Putin sent troops to help Abkhazia and South Ossetia. It was a consequence, not a cause. If you look at NATO as some innocent thing and not something vital for the expansion of US geopolitical interests, a way to put US military bases everywhere, and a tool to clobber countries if need be (including directly going against its supposed rules), then maybe it's surprising that Russia reacts like that. But obviously Russia knows what NATO is and they do perceive it as a threat to their interests. Like, we know what happens every time NATO tries to inch closer to Russia. Why do we act surprised when it does happen?

Surprised?  No.  Russia is doing what you accuse NATO of, using military weight to expand it’s political and strategic goals.  Russia doesn’t fear a NATO attack, it fears losing influence, and that is not justification to start a war.

I don’t think NATO is entirely  benign, but at least Eastern European countries joined out of choice, not because they feared invasion. 

For the record I was wary of expanding NATO back in the 90s, but the idea that anyone is entitled to a “sphere of influence” was always kind of bollocks.  No country should have to bend to the will of their neighbours, just because they’re big, mean and likely to lose their shit if anyone falls out of line.

Russia is the one clobbering countries like Georgia and the Ukraine for who they might make alliances with.  It’s not just a consequence, Russia has a choice.  They choose to use military force to get their way, and the possibility of them pulling this shit is why many neighbours wanted to join NATO in the first place.

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Lorddave

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Re: War
« Reply #238 on: February 21, 2022, 01:40:33 AM »
As someone of Jewish Eastern European ancestry I can tell you that there was never any Ukraine in the past. Ukraine was always Russia and culturally it will always be Russia. Anyways Putin is not interested in invading Ukraine because if he did he would have done so already. It makes zero sense to invade a poor country and have responsibility of feeding millions of people, while Russia is struggling to feed their own population. You wanna invade rich countries and Ukraine under Russia will be an absolute burden to already bad Russian economy. Biden is an idiot and everything you hear on the news about Russia invading is fake. Biden simply wants to shift the attention out of how poorly he is performing unto something else, he wants  you to hate Russia rather then hating the fucking Democrats who ruined this country under Biden. The only thing Putin doesn't want is for Ukraine to join NATO and have NATO troops alongside Russian border, can you blame him?

1. Then why the buildup?
2. You realize nato nations already border russia, yes?  Including the current head of Nato, Norway.
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Pezevenk

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Re: War
« Reply #239 on: February 21, 2022, 05:08:44 AM »
Not because they were allied to  NATO though. 

Look up Greek junta. Although even before the junta the US and UK directly drove many decisions taken in the country.

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China is a military threat to Taiwan.  You’re the one who said to look at the big picture. 

I see that there is a connection in that there's some sort of conflict in both cases, I don't see why one has anything to do with the other.


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It’s nothing like Donetsk.  There’s no separatists fighting the government, it’s a peaceful democratic country.  It’s not officially recognized, but the status quo has been accepted for decades.  It was a mistake not to fully recognize it ages ago and that’s kind of the problem now. 

Do you know that Taiwan claims to own THE ENTIRE China (yes, including Tibet and all that other stuff)? Taiwan became a thing when Kuomintang (a party which was very much not "democratic" or "peaceful" not even in name, which is why Taiwan was under military rule until the 90s) lost the civil war and retrated into the island. Because they governed China before (formerly the Republic of China) their claim is that they are the true government of China, and the name of Taiwan is official Republic of China for that reason. That's why Taiwan was not recognized, because they don't even just claim they are just some country named Taiwan, they claim to be the Republic of China, except there was already a China.

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Whoa!  Opinion polls and language curriculums!  Great justification for sending troops into another country and carving bits off it.  If only we had opinion polls for Afghanistan and Iraq, and I might have supported those wars.

What other way do you propose other than opinion polls to see what public opinion is on the matter of joining Russia? Is that not legitimate?

Also, uh, "language curriculums" are kind of an important subject for ethnic minorities, as is being allowed to speak their language in broadcasts, as is being allowed to use their language in governance where they are a majority.

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None of this makes any sense.  Russia has built up a huge force, enough for a full scale invasion.  NATO hasn’t deployed anything like enough to engage, nor have they threatened to.  Economic sanctions are the deterrent here.

But maybe you’ll be conscripted as an accountant or something?

You're talking about the war becoming generalized. If NATO responds to the invasion by military means (which I agree won't happen even if Russia invades now, which I also don't think will happen) then yes, it is very likely that I will personally be conscripted, between many other really nasty things that will happen in Europe.

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Surprised?  No.  Russia is doing what you accuse NATO of, using military weight to expand it’s political and strategic goals.  Russia doesn’t fear a NATO attack, it fears losing influence, and that is not justification to start a war.

Yes, I said both do that, and yes, Russia does fear a NATO attack. Not right now, but it's definitely a distinct possibility in the future. Just like I don't believe Ukraine will be attacked by Russia now, but long term it is a threat.

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For the record I was wary of expanding NATO back in the 90s, but the idea that anyone is entitled to a “sphere of influence” was always kind of bollocks.  No country should have to bend to the will of their neighbours, just because they’re big, mean and likely to lose their shit if anyone falls out of line.
What you are actually saying here and what this rhetoric boils down to is that there should only be one acceptable sphere of influence that is enforced, that of the US and NATO. It's promoted for this reason exactly.
« Last Edit: February 21, 2022, 05:15:20 AM by Pezevenk »
Member of the BOTD for Anti Fascism and Racism

It is not a scientific fact, it is a scientific fuck!
-Intikam

Read a bit psicology and stick your imo to where it comes from
-Intikam (again)