Waves as we draw them in pictures does not represent reality, I hope you know this. The direction is the resultant of any sub-directions, such as down and horizontally. If the photon travels down as much as it travels horizontally then the resulting direction is 45° down from horizontally, or 45° up from down etc.
The light hitting our eyes according to your diagram will hit our eyes at an angle, and we will perceive the opposite direction of that as the position of the source. That's all there is to it.
Things as we draw them rarely represent reality. Even so, the orientation of waves is important. That being said, i was rushing for dinner when I wrote that last post, so I apologize for how terrible much of it sounded.
My intent was to reference interference: the reason light typically tends to take a straight path from A to B, is because it in fact takes every possible path from A to B, and almost all of those paths are out of phase, so they're cancelled out. The only one without another in antiphase is the straight-line path, which has no mirror.
My thinking was that the path to the eye would necessarily need to appear a straight one: however, the angled-path you reference as giving the angle would clearly have a mirror, so the vertical path seemed preferred.
That being said, I do see your point, and it would seem to refute my hypothesis as it now stands, so thank you.
The last bastions of it would be in proposing spotlight-photons: visible only when viewed from one direction. That would seem to be readily falsifiable, at least in the respect the hypothesis would require. As forces typically increase 'acceleration' (a dodgy word to use in this case, admittedly) then the attraction of the ice wall would not result in the behavior we observe.
However, if the curve could be inverted: that is, if the increase in movement happens at the start, followed by the light curving to move vertically down, presumably that would do a much better job at matching behavior. Even so, this seems unlikely, unless...
Anyway, that's my thinking aloud. There are always going to be a few work-arounds, it just depends on the convenience/assumptions required.
I do still hold light is attracted to objects with a high refractive index, but the force caused by the ice wall may not be so powerful as I hypothesized here. my main interest, now, is in the moon. That's a different topic, however.
I'm working on the basis that if three powerful hypothesis-elements are struck down, that would render a FE highly unlikely and I'll stop working for it: a good hypothesis would likely then be near-impossible to find, or would require too many assumptions. This is strike one.
Thank you for your help.