If you expect us to be prophets because of our theory, you are sorely mistaken.
Hurricanes are very common because tides have nothing to do with the moon. Currently it is a crescent (I want to say waning) so yeah. They have to do with seasons (almost always happens in fall) and with whirlpools. And calm zones. Calm zones are regions that have regular water ebb and flow without tides. Typically, these are due to some sort of obstructive feature (islands, rocks, etc) but some are just really far from any pull or push from tidal vortexes (whirlpools). So here's the deal. There are several fairly stable whirlpools across the world.
One's in Scotland (Corryvreckan), another in Japan (Naruto Whirlpools), there's one in New Brunswick (Old Sow), one in Canada (Skookumchuck Narrows), two near the Norway (Moskstraumen and Saltstraumen), one near Niagara Falls (Niagara Whirlpool).
And there are also areas where temporary whirlpools form. You been paying attention so far?
What do you think happens when tidal zones combine? Especially warm and cold tidal zones. When currents coming from Africa (near the southern hemisphere) Texas and Florida (northern hemisphere) combine, you have hot water wrapping around cold water. Why not in winter? Probably because in fall, the temperature is starting to change as well (whereas in winter and summer, it's more stable). It's too hot in summer, too cold in winter.
NOAA says this is cause by Earth's rotation and warm water, but this would make hurricanes happen during the summer. And all the time, if the Earth constantly rotates. It's caused by influx of water of different pressures and temperatures. Some evaporates, some condensates, and this shifting creates turbulence.